How Book Publishing Actually Works
An advance against royalties, a long timeline, and a supply chain that explains most of it.

Trade publishing is concentrated in New York and its mechanics are consistent enough to describe plainly.
The agent
Most large publishers do not accept direct submissions. An author submits to literary agents, who take on a small proportion of what they receive and then submit to editors.
Agents are paid a percentage of what the author earns, and they should never charge reading fees. An agent asking for payment to consider a manuscript is not operating as an agent.
The advance
A publisher offers an advance against royalties, typically paid in instalments tied to signature, delivery of an acceptable manuscript, and publication.
The advance is recouped from royalties. An author whose book does not earn royalties exceeding the advance keeps it but receives nothing further, and this is the ordinary outcome for a majority of books.
Royalty rates
Rates differ by format, generally calculated as a percentage of a defined price, and escalate at sales thresholds. Digital and audio rates differ again.
Rights
The contract allocates territorial rights, translation, audio, film and television, and serial rights. Which rights the publisher acquires and which the author retains through their agent can matter more than the advance.
Retained rights are sold separately, and for some books that income exceeds the original advance.
The timeline
The gap between a signed contract and a published book is typically measured in years — editing, copyediting, design, printing, and placement into a seasonal catalogue that booksellers buy from months ahead.
Returns
Booksellers can return unsold stock for credit. This structural feature explains a great deal: publishers print cautiously, reserves against returns are held back from royalty statements, and a book's sales figures remain provisional for some time after publication.
What determines whether a book sells
Within publishing, the honest answer is that it is unpredictable. Placement, timing, reviews and word of mouth interact in ways nobody has learned to forecast reliably, which is why advances vary so widely for apparently similar books.